Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.309396 3.821865 4.389003 5.063491 5.844268 6.720253 7.778501
2024-10-27 2.463049 3.088980 3.841442 4.813818 6.039123 7.534654 9.503001
2024-11-03 2.073131 2.794246 3.726224 5.021746 6.781046 9.094340 12.379700
2024-11-10 1.808580 2.600320 3.692266 5.313279 7.668461 10.981336 16.023377
2024-11-17 1.552813 2.366302 3.555927 5.430150 8.325289 12.655192 19.674529
2024-11-24 1.330989 2.138320 3.383531 5.454679 8.838333 14.191266 23.387556
2024-12-01 1.110286 1.871488 3.103840 5.257582 8.961027 15.129240 26.306513
2024-12-08 0.929120 1.636693 2.834376 5.025150 8.974569 15.873006 29.007033
2024-12-15 0.831913 1.527853 2.756563 5.103459 9.528749 17.616726 33.759930
2024-12-22 0.722368 1.378789 2.583806 4.979637 9.689660 18.668643 37.396766
2024-12-29 0.682528 1.352399 2.629580 5.270006 10.676415 21.416100 44.803048
2025-01-05 0.635385 1.304087 2.625337 5.459390 11.489696 23.944678 52.198539
2025-01-12 0.575083 1.223028 2.550260 5.505377 12.043297 26.091812 59.314652
2025-01-19 0.494407 1.087149 2.343153 5.239706 11.888117 26.718188 63.198344
2025-01-26 0.465818 1.059349 2.360771 5.470618 12.879363 30.043791 73.990215
2025-02-02 0.446216 1.048536 2.413921 5.791616 14.136387 34.199272 87.621110
2025-02-09 0.414930 1.005699 2.387785 5.921060 14.957008 37.461380 99.667232
2025-02-16 0.380778 0.950620 2.324496 5.949008 15.530175 40.213429 110.938741
2025-02-23 0.337111 0.865262 2.175104 5.734348 15.440553 41.255618 117.775953
2025-03-02 0.297071 0.782921 2.020775 5.480789 15.201770 41.857662 123.484910
2025-03-09 0.277853 0.752161 1.994110 5.566636 15.912534 45.177773 137.821219
2025-03-16 0.250886 0.696475 1.893600 5.431490 15.973904 46.682674 146.995077
2025-03-23 0.244955 0.698052 1.948354 5.748943 17.416794 52.461507 170.760013